polymarket

Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users can speculate on future events by trading shares tied to specific outcomes, known as ...

dspace.networks.imdea.org·10.2 MB

In this paper, we conduct an empirical arbitrage analysis on Polymarket data to answer three key questions: (Q1) What conditions give rise to arbitrage? (Q2) ...

suarez-tangil.networks.imdea.org·5.2 MB

Abstract. In this paper, we conduct a large-scale field experiment to investigate the manipulability of prediction markets.

www.sciencespo.fr·3.4 MB

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi offer unique advantages through their ability to aggregate diverse perspectives, provide real-time probability assessments, ...

mipb.ikn.army.mil·1.8 MB

At the intersection of DeFi and information exchange lies the Prediction Market : an area where traders can leverage their knowledge of the past, ...

crebaco.com·1.8 MB

For example, Polymarket has correctly predicted events such as Microsoft's failed acquisition of Tiktok. Other popular markets related the outcome of the U.S. ...

timroughgarden.github.io·1.6 MB

Today,. Polymarket has emerged as the leading on-chain prediction market. Polymarket's cumulative volume for. 2024 has already surpassed $600 ...

assets.ctfassets.net·933.8 KB

Polymarket is a platform for hosting prediction markets, and has the largest notional amounts outstanding of contracts on the U.S. Presidential election. For ...

www.nber.org·767.1 KB

This thesis examines the dynamics of prediction markets within the cryptocur- rency landscape, focusing on Polymarket. It offers a comprehensive analysis.

dspace.cuni.cz·762.7 KB

This paper presents a qualitative sociotechnical audit of Polymarket (N = 27), combining digital ethnography with interpretive walkthroughs and ...

www.arxiv.org·623.6 KB

Polymarket is a blockchain-native prediction market, built on the ... Technical whitepaper. URL: https://app.uniswap.org/whitepaper.pdf ...

arxiv.org·605.5 KB

Polymarket has stood out due to factors including its simplicity. It features mostly binary outcome markets, and users can bet with USDC. It ...

contenthub-static.crypto.com·604.1 KB

Overall, findings suggest that Polymarket was superior to polling in predicting the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, particularly in ...

arxiv.org·582.0 KB

Decentralized markets such as Polymarket, built on public blockchains, have reached weekly trading volumes on the order of billions of dollars ...

www.researchsquare.com·580.0 KB

A newly created Polymarket account invested $30,000 on Friday in favor of Maduro's exit, netting more than $436,000 in profit after Maduro was ...

www.cortezmasto.senate.gov·510.0 KB

Polymarket is an example of the rapid changes in technology that are enabling expanded consumer choices for betting and gambling. Key technology changes relate ...

www.ifhaonline.org·467.7 KB

[10] Polymarket Foundation, “Polymarket: A Decentralized Information-Market Protocol,”. Polymarket Documentation, 2021. [11] K. Popper ...

arxiv.org·393.7 KB

Decentralized prediction markets (DPM) are innovative platforms that integrate predictive forecasting with blockchain technology.1 These platforms present ...

georgetownlawtechreview.org·294.3 KB

As explained below, this Agreement is only intended for Participants who are associations, partnerships, limited liability companies, joint ventures, trusts or ...

www.polymarketexchange.com·279.6 KB

Polymarket acquires CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse QCEX for $112 million. 12 PR Newswire. (2025, Jun. 18). Railbird receives CFTC approval as a ...

kpmg.com·206.7 KB